Surrey Mayor Brenda Locke holds a 12-point lead over former mayor Doug McCallum in the Surrey mayoral race, but more than a third of voters remain undecided with one week to election day, according to a new Leger poll.
The Leger survey, conducted online from September 23 to 30 among 1,207 Vancouver CMA residents aged 18 and older, puts Locke (Surrey Connect) at 24 per cent support and McCallum (Safe Surrey Coalition) at 12 per cent, with 34 per cent of Surrey voters undecided. Results were weighted by age, gender, region and education, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, for comparison purposes.
The poll suggests the race could tighten further depending on who actually votes. Leger found that half of Metro Vancouver residents say they are 100 per cent certain they will vote, but certainty varies sharply by age: only 35 per cent of residents aged 18 to 34 say they are certain to cast a ballot, compared with 64 per cent of those aged 55 and older. Among Surrey voters who say they are certain to vote, Locke’s support rises from 24 per cent to 34 per cent.
Dissatisfaction with the status quo runs deep in Surrey. The poll found 64 per cent of Surrey residents say it is time for a change in city council, and cost of living and affordability is the top municipal issue, cited among the top three concerns by 47 per cent of residents. Housing affordability follows at 34 per cent.
With the municipal election set for Saturday, October 17, this is the final weekend polls on the mayoral race can be published: under election rules, no new mayoral polls may be published during the poll freeze from 8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. on election day.
(Source: Leger, “Metro Vancouver Municipal Election 2026: Voters Want Change,” October 9, 2026)
